With a 141-point lead, Jimmie Johnson is virtually a lock to win his 3^rd straight NASCAR Sprint Cup title this weekend in Florida. Carl Edwards can win the race and lead the most laps and get 195 points. If this happens and Johnson doesn’t lead a lap he needs to finish 36^th or better. Johnson will try to keep himself out of trouble for most of the day so don’t use him on your team this weekend.

            I am going to pick Carl Edwards to win this week because I have seen him go all out during the Chase to try and reel in Johnson. Carl always runs really well at Homestead and has finished in the top 10 in the last 3 races here.

            Greg Biffle won 3 straight races at Homestead but faltered a bit last year after the track was reconfigured with the banking changing from the top to the bottom of the track. Greg should still be good here once again this weekend because this is a track built for Roush drivers.

            Matt Kenseth won this race last year giving Jack Roush 4 straight victories to end the season, although he never got a championship during that time. Matt also has 3 straight top 10 finishes here and would really like to get his first victory of the year.

            Jeff Gordon has finished in the top 10 here in 7 of the 9 Cup races run at the track. Jeff is also trying to break a non-winning streak of his own and get a win this year on a track that he has never won on.

            Kevin Harvick is another driver who has only finished outside of the top 10 twice here in 7 races. Kevin has been very consistent most of the year but he hasn’t been able to make the right adjustment to get himself to victory lane and become a real threat for the championship.

            Denny Hamlin has finished 3^rd in his last 2 Homestead races and has been doing much better the last couple of weeks. Teams are all going to be doing a lot of testing this weekend for next year because Edwards and Johnson are the only ones left that can win the title.

            With that being said I am going to cut it a bit short this week and give you my picks. Thank you all for sticking with me through the year and I will be back once again next season to help you in your fantasy quests!

            Yahoo Picks for Homestead-Miami

            Group A

            Carl Edwards (starter)

            Denny Hamlin

            Group B

            Greg Biffle (starter)

            Jamie McMurray (starter)

            Kyle Busch

            Dale Earnhardt Jr.

            Group C

            AJ Allmendinger (starter)

            Brian Vickers

            Top 5 Overall at Homestead-Miami

1.      Carl Edwards

2.      Denny Hamlin

3.      Greg Biffle

4.      Matt Kenseth

5.      Jeff Gordon

Dark Horse: David Ragan

Stay Away From: Jimmie Johnson

As always you can Email me with any questions, comments or suggestions at gutsamaniac@hotmail.com. Good luck and thank you all once again. I hope to see you all back with me next season!